Discordant City Employment Cycles
FRB of St. Louis Working Paper No. 2010-019B
45 Pages Posted: 14 Jul 2010 Last revised: 20 Sep 2012
Date Written: July 13, 2010
This paper estimates city-level employment cycles for 58 large U.S. cities and documents the substantial cross-city variation in the timing, lengths, and frequencies of their employment contractions. It also shows how the spread of city-level contractions associated with U.S. recessions has tended to follow recession-specific geographic patterns. In addition, cities within the same state or region have tended to have similar employment cycles. We find no evidence that similarities in employment cycles are related to similarities in industry mix, although cities with more-similar high school attainment, mean establishment size, and industrial diversity have tended to have more-similar employment cycles.
Keywords: City Employment Cycles
JEL Classification: R12, E32
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation