Global Climate Change and the Resurgence of Tropical Disease: An Economic Approach

21 Pages Posted: 16 Jul 2010

See all articles by Douglas Gollin

Douglas Gollin

Oxford Department of International Development; Williams College; Yale University

Christian Zimmermann

Federal Reserve Bank of Saint Louis; IZA Institute of Labor Economics

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Date Written: July 15, 2010

Abstract

We study the impact of global climate change on the prevalence of tropical diseases using a heterogeneous agent dynamic general equilibrium model. In our framework, households can take actions (e.g., purchasing bednets or other goods) that provide partial protection from disease. However, these actions are costly and households face borrowing constraints. Parameterizing the model, we explore the impact of a worldwide temperature increase of 3°C. We find that the impact on disease prevalence and especially output should be modest and can be mitigated by improvements in protection efficacy.

Keywords: DSGE models, climate change, tropical diseases, incomplete markets

JEL Classification: E13, E21, I10, O11, Q54

Suggested Citation

Gollin, Douglas and Zimmermann, Christian, Global Climate Change and the Resurgence of Tropical Disease: An Economic Approach (July 15, 2010). CESifo Working Paper Series No. 3122. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1640437

Douglas Gollin

Oxford Department of International Development ( email )

Queen Elizabeth House
3 Mansfield Road
Oxford, OX1 3TB
United Kingdom

Williams College ( email )

Fernald House
Williamstown, MA 01267
United States

Yale University ( email )

28 Hillhouse Ave
New Haven, CT 06520-8264
United States

Christian Zimmermann (Contact Author)

Federal Reserve Bank of Saint Louis ( email )

411 Locust St
Saint Louis, MO 63011
United States

IZA Institute of Labor Economics

P.O. Box 7240
Bonn, D-53072
Germany

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