Are Free Trade Agreements Contagious?

35 Pages Posted: 19 Jul 2010

See all articles by Richard Baldwin

Richard Baldwin

IMD; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER); Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

Dany Jaimovich

Goethe University Frankfurt

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Date Written: June 2010

Abstract

This paper presents a new model of the domino effect which is used to generate an empirical index of how "contagious" FTAs are with respect to third nations due to the trade diversion. We test our contagion hypothesis together with alternative specifications of interdependence and other political, economical and geographical determinants of FTA formation. Our main finding is that contagion is present in our data and is robust to various econometric specifications and samples.

Keywords: Contagion Effec, Free Trade Agreements, International Trade

JEL Classification: F13

Suggested Citation

Baldwin, Richard and Jaimovich, Dany, Are Free Trade Agreements Contagious? (June 2010). CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP7904, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1640981

Richard Baldwin (Contact Author)

IMD ( email )

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National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) ( email )

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Cambridge, MA 02138
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Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR) ( email )

London
United Kingdom

Dany Jaimovich

Goethe University Frankfurt ( email )

Grüneburgplatz 1
Frankfurt am Main, 60323
Germany

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