Foreign News and Spillovers in Emerging European Stock Markets

36 Pages Posted: 28 Jul 2010

See all articles by Evžen Kočenda

Evžen Kočenda

Charles University in Prague - Institute of Economic Studies; Institute of Information Theory and Automation (Czech Academy of Sciences) - Department of Econometrics; CESifo; University of Regensburg - Institute for East and Southeast European Studies; University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - The William Davidson Institute

Jan Hanousek

CERGE-EI (Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute); Charles University in Prague; Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic; Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

Date Written: May 1, 2010

Abstract

We analyze foreign news and spillovers in the emerging EU stock markets (the Czech Republic, Hungary, and Poland). We employ high-frequency five-minute intraday data on stock market index returns and four classes of EU and U.S. macroeconomic announcements during 2004–2007. We account for the difference of each announcement from its market expectation and we jointly model the volatility of the returns accounting for intraday movements and day-of-the-week effects. Our findings show that intraday interactions on the new EU markets are strongly determined by mature stock markets as well as the macroeconomic news originating thereby. We show that strong contemporaneous links across markets are present even after controlling for macroeconomic announcements. Finally, in terms of specific announcements, we are able to show the exact sources of macro news spillovers from the developed foreign markets to the three new EU markets under research.

Keywords: finance, intra-day data, macroeconomic news, European emerging stock markets

JEL Classification: C52, F36, G15, P59

Suggested Citation

Kocenda, Evzen and Hanousek, Jan, Foreign News and Spillovers in Emerging European Stock Markets (May 1, 2010). William Davidson Institute Working Paper No. 983. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1649507 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1649507

Evzen Kocenda (Contact Author)

Charles University in Prague - Institute of Economic Studies ( email )

Opletalova St. 26
Prague, 11000
Czech Republic

HOME PAGE: http://kocenda.fsv.cuni.cz

Institute of Information Theory and Automation (Czech Academy of Sciences) - Department of Econometrics ( email )

Pod vodarenskou vezi 4
CZ-18208 Praha 8
Czech Republic

CESifo

Poschinger Str. 5
Munich, DE-81679
Germany

University of Regensburg - Institute for East and Southeast European Studies

Landshuterstr. 4
Regensburg, 93047
Germany

University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - The William Davidson Institute

724 E. University Ave.
Wyly Hall
Ann Arbor, MI 48109-1234
United States

Jan Hanousek

CERGE-EI (Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute) ( email )

Politickych veznu 7
Prague 1, 111 21
Czech Republic
420 2 2400 5119 (Phone)
420 2 2421 1374 (Fax)

HOME PAGE: http://www.cerge-ei.cz

Charles University in Prague ( email )

Celetná 13
Praha 1, 116 36
Czech Republic

Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic ( email )

Narodni 3, 111 42
Praha 1, 117 20
Czech Republic

Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR) ( email )

London
United Kingdom

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