Review of: Predicting Presidential Elections and Other Things

2 Pages Posted: 16 Aug 2010

See all articles by J. Scott Armstrong

J. Scott Armstrong

University of Pennsylvania - Marketing Department

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Date Written: March 3, 2003

Abstract

Ray Fair is one of my favorite econometricians. He has an excellent website, fairmodel.econ.yale.edu, where he freely shares his models. He writes clearly and his methods are reported in detail. He is concerned with the proper use of econometric methods. For example, he has long been opposed to the common practice of making ex post subjective adjustments to forecasts from econometric models. A review of empirical evidence supports his position (Armstrong and Collopy 1998).

Suggested Citation

Armstrong, J. Scott, Review of: Predicting Presidential Elections and Other Things (March 3, 2003). International Journal of Forecasting, 2003. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1657150

J. Scott Armstrong (Contact Author)

University of Pennsylvania - Marketing Department ( email )

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HOME PAGE: http://marketing.wharton.upenn.edu/people/faculty/armstrong.cfm

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