Losses, Dividend Reductions, and Market Reaction Associated with Past Earnings and Dividends Patterns

Posted: 14 Aug 2010

See all articles by Andreas Charitou

Andreas Charitou

University of Cyprus

Neophytos Lambertides

Cyprus University of Technology

Giorgos Theodoulou

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Date Written: August 12, 2010

Abstract

This paper examines investors’ reactions to dividend reductions or omissions conditional on past earnings and dividend patterns for a sample of 82 U.S. firms that incurred an annual loss during the period 1986-2003. We document that the market reaction for firms with long patterns of past earnings and dividend payouts is significantly more negative than for firms with less-established past earnings and dividends records. Our results can be explained by the following line of reasoning. First, consistent with DeAngelo, DeAngelo, and Skinner (1992), a loss following a long stream of earnings and dividend payments represents an unreliable indicator of future earnings. Thus, established firms have higher loss reliability than less-established firms. Second, because current earnings and dividend policy are a substitute source of means of forecasting future earnings, lower loss reliability increases the information content of dividend reductions. Therefore, given the presence of a loss, the longer the stream of prior earnings and dividend payments, (1) the lower the loss reliability and (2) the more reliably dividend cuts are perceived as an indication that earnings difficulties will persist in the future.

Keywords: Dividend omissions, dividend reductions, dividend announcements, losses, earnings, patterns, event study

JEL Classification: G12, G14, G32, G35

Suggested Citation

Charitou, Andreas and Lambertides, Neophytos and Theodoulou, Giorgos, Losses, Dividend Reductions, and Market Reaction Associated with Past Earnings and Dividends Patterns (August 12, 2010). Journal of Accounting, Auditing and Finance, Forthcoming. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1657868

Andreas Charitou (Contact Author)

University of Cyprus ( email )

75 Kallipoleos Street
P.O. Box 20537
Nicosia CY-1678
Cyprus
+357 2 893624 (Phone)
+357 2 895030 (Fax)

Neophytos Lambertides

Cyprus University of Technology ( email )

Limassol, 3603
Cyprus

Giorgos Theodoulou

affiliation not provided to SSRN ( email )

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