The Cross-Country Incidence of the Global Crisis

55 Pages Posted: 16 Aug 2010

See all articles by Philip R. Lane

Philip R. Lane

Trinity College (Dublin) - Department of Economics; Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR); Central Bank of Ireland

Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti

International Monetary Fund (IMF); National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER); Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Date Written: August 2010

Abstract

We examine whether the cross-country incidence and severity of the 2008-2009 global recession is systematically related to pre-crisis macroeconomic and financial factors. We find that the pre-crisis level of development, increases in the ratio of private credit to GDP, current account deficits, and openness to trade are helpful in understanding the intensity of the crisis. International risk sharing did little to shield domestic demand from the country-specific component of output declines, while those countries with large pre-crisis current account deficits saw domestic demand fall by much more than domestic output during the crisis.

Keywords: current account, financial crisis, international financial integration, Private credit

JEL Classification: F31, F32, F43

Suggested Citation

Lane, Philip R. and Milesi-Ferretti, Gian Maria, The Cross-Country Incidence of the Global Crisis (August 2010). CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP7954. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1658261

Philip R. Lane (Contact Author)

Trinity College (Dublin) - Department of Economics ( email )

Trinity College
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Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

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Central Bank of Ireland ( email )

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Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti

International Monetary Fund (IMF) ( email )

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National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

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Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

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