Using Capabilities to Project Growth, 2010-30

Bard College Levy Economics Institute Working Paper No. 609

23 Pages Posted: 16 Aug 2010

See all articles by Jesus Felipe

Jesus Felipe

Asian Development Bank

Utsav Kumar

Asian Development Bank

Arnelyn Abdon

Asian Development Bank

Date Written: August 16, 2010

Abstract

We forecast average annual GDP growth for 147 countries for 2010-30. We use a cross-country regression model where the long-run fundamentals are determined by countries’ accumulated capabilities and the capacity to undergo structural transformation.

Keywords: Capabilities, Forecast, Growth

JEL Classification: C53, 050

Suggested Citation

Felipe, Jesus and Kumar, Utsav and Abdon, Arnelyn May, Using Capabilities to Project Growth, 2010-30 (August 16, 2010). Bard College Levy Economics Institute Working Paper No. 609. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1659723 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1659723

Jesus Felipe (Contact Author)

Asian Development Bank ( email )

6 ADB Avenue, Mandaluyong City 1550
Metro Manila
Philippines

Utsav Kumar

Asian Development Bank ( email )

6 ADB Avenue
Central and West Asia Department
Mandaluyong City
Philippines

HOME PAGE: http://works.bepress.com/kumarutsav/

Arnelyn May Abdon

Asian Development Bank ( email )

6 ADB Avenue, Mandaluyong City 1550
Metro Manila
Philippines

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