39 Pages Posted: 30 Aug 2010
Date Written: August 27, 2010
According to recent assessments, the United States has considerably more recoverable natural gas in shale formations than was previously thought. Such a development raises expectations that U.S. energy consumption will shift toward natural gas. To examine how the apparent abundance of natural gas and projected growth of its use might affect natural gas prices, production, and consumption, we use NEMS-RFF to model a number of scenarios - reflecting different perspectives on natural gas availability, the availability of competing resources, demand for natural gas, and climate policy - through 2030. We find that more abundant shale gas resources create an environment in which natural gas prices are likely to remain attractive to consumers - even as policy advances additional uses of natural gas to reduce carbon dioxide emissions and bolster energy security.
Keywords: natural gas, shale, gas prices, climate policy, carbon dioxide emissions, energy security
JEL Classification: Q4, Q54
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation
Brown, Stephen P. A. and Krupnick, Alan, Abundant Shale Gas Resources: Long-Term Implications for U.S. Natural Gas Markets (August 27, 2010). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1666996 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1666996