What Explains Aid Project Success in Post-Conflict Situations?

28 Pages Posted: 20 Apr 2016

See all articles by Lisa Chauvet

Lisa Chauvet

Université Paris Dauphine; Université Paris Dauphine - PSL Research University

Paul Collier

University of Oxford - Blavatnik School of Government

Marguerite Duponchel

The World Bank; World Bank - Development Research Group (DECRG)

Date Written: September 1, 2010

Abstract

This paper investigates the effectiveness of post-conflict aid at the project level and aims to identify post-conflict situations as a window of opportunity for project success. The Independent Evaluation Group dataset provides extensive information on the characteristics of World Bank projects including an independent rating of their success, supervision and evaluation quality. The paper estimates the probability of success of aid projects depending on the characteristics of the intervention and looks for possible special patterns in post civil war situations. The results suggest that the probability of success of World Bank projects increases as peace lasts. Supervision appears to be a crucial determinant of the success of projects, especially during the first years of peace. Although the results of the sector-level analysis need to be taken with caution, the authors find that projects in the transport sector and in the urban development sector appear more successful in post-conflict environments. On the contrary, education projects seem less successful and therefore need to be highly supervised. Projects in the private sector should wait as they face a higher probability of failure in the first years of peace.

Keywords: Post Conflict Reconstruction, Post Conflict Reintegration, Social Conflict and Violence, Peace & Peacekeeping, Housing & Human Habitats

Suggested Citation

Chauvet, Lisa and Collier, Paul and Duponchel, Marguerite, What Explains Aid Project Success in Post-Conflict Situations? (September 1, 2010). World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 5418, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1678347

Lisa Chauvet (Contact Author)

Université Paris Dauphine ( email )

Place du Maréchal de Tassigny
Paris, Cedex 16 75775
France

Université Paris Dauphine - PSL Research University ( email )

Place du Maréchal de Lattre de Tassigny
Paris cedex 16, 75775
France

Paul Collier

University of Oxford - Blavatnik School of Government ( email )

10 Merton St
Oxford, Oxfordshire OX1 4JJ
United Kingdom

Marguerite Duponchel

The World Bank ( email )

1818 H Street N.W.
Washington, DC 20433
United States

World Bank - Development Research Group (DECRG) ( email )

1818 H. Street, N.W.
MSN3-311
Washington, DC 20433
United States

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