Will the Republicans Retake the House in 2010? A Second Look Over the Horizon

12 Pages Posted: 25 Sep 2010

Date Written: September 25, 2010

Abstract

For the Republicans to regain control of the House of Representatives this year, the Democrats need to suffer a net loss of 40 members, or just under 16% of the 257 seats they took in 2008. With a model estimated with elections since 1870, here I evaluate the likelihood of such an eventuality.

Keywords: Midterm Elections Forecast

JEL Classification: C53

Suggested Citation

Cuzan, Alfred G., Will the Republicans Retake the House in 2010? A Second Look Over the Horizon (September 25, 2010). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1682545 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1682545

Alfred G. Cuzan (Contact Author)

University of West Florida ( email )

11000 University Parkway
Pensacola, FL 32514-5750
United States

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