Will the Republicans Retake the House in 2010? A Second Look Over the Horizon
12 Pages Posted: 25 Sep 2010
Date Written: September 25, 2010
For the Republicans to regain control of the House of Representatives this year, the Democrats need to suffer a net loss of 40 members, or just under 16% of the 257 seats they took in 2008. With a model estimated with elections since 1870, here I evaluate the likelihood of such an eventuality.
Keywords: Midterm Elections Forecast
JEL Classification: C53
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation