Intergenerational Transfers, Aging, and Uncertainty

39 Pages Posted: 4 Oct 2010

See all articles by David N. Weil

David N. Weil

Brown University - Department of Economics; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

Date Written: September 1993

Abstract

Research on intergenerational transmission of wealth has pointed to uncertainty -- about the date of one's own death, for example -- as a potential source of significant bequest flows. In this paper I examine the effects of this same uncertainty on the behavior of those who expect to receive bequests. Potential heirs who are prudent will consume less than would be warranted by the size of their expected bequests, and so on average consumption will rise at the age when actual bequests are received. I examine the effect of this uncertainty on the outcome of population aging. Population aging, by changing the relative sizes of the bequeathing generation and those receiving bequests, raises the average size of bequests received and reduces the saving of the bequest-receiving generation. I show that accounting for the effects of uncertainty slows down the reduction in saving that results from population aging.

Suggested Citation

Weil, David Nathan, Intergenerational Transfers, Aging, and Uncertainty (September 1993). NBER Working Paper No. w4477. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1685049

David Nathan Weil (Contact Author)

Brown University - Department of Economics ( email )

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