Survey of Time Preference, Delay Discounting Models

34 Pages Posted: 1 Oct 2010 Last revised: 22 Apr 2012

See all articles by John R. Doyle

John R. Doyle

Cardiff University - Cardiff Business School

Date Written: April 20, 2012

Abstract

The paper surveys over twenty models of delay discounting (also known as temporal discounting, time preference, time discounting), that psychologists and economists have put forward to explain the way people actually trade off time and money. Using little more than the basic algebra of powers and logarithms, we show how the models are derived, what assumptions they are based upon, and how different models relate to each other. Rather than concentrate only on discount functions themselves, we show how discount functions may be manipulated to isolate rate parameters for each model. This approach, consistently applied, helps focus attention on the three main components in any discounting model: subjectively perceived money; subjectively perceived time; and how these elements are combined. We group models by the number of parameters that have to be estimated, which means our exposition follows a trajectory of increasing complexity to the models. However, as the story unfolds it becomes clear that most models fall into a smaller number of families. We also show how new models may be constructed by combining elements of different models.

The surveyed models are: Exponential; Hyperbolic; Arithmetic; Hyperboloid (Green & Myerson, Rachlin); Loewenstein and Prelec Generalized Hyperboloid; quasi-Hyperbolic (β-δ); Benhabib et al’s fixed cost; Benhabib et al’s Exponential/Hyperbolic/quasi-Hyperbolic; Read’s discounting fractions; Roelofsma’s exponential time; Scholten and Read’s discounting-by-intervals (DBI); Ebert and Prelec’s constant sensitivity (CS); Bleichrodt et al.’s constant absolute decreasing impatience (CADI); Bleichrodt et al.’s constant relative decreasing impatience (CRDI); Green, Myerson, and Macaux’s hyperboloid over intervals models; Killeen’s additive utility; size-sensitive additive utility; Yi, Reid, and Bickel’s memory trace models; McClure et al.’s two exponentials; Scholten and Read’s trade-off model; and Decision-by-Sampling (DbS).

For a convenient overview, a single “cheat sheet” table captures the notation and essential mathematics behind all but one of the models.

Keywords: Time Preference, Delay Discounting, Intertemporal Choice, Survey, JDM, Behavioral Economics

JEL Classification: D90, C90, C91

Suggested Citation

Doyle, John, Survey of Time Preference, Delay Discounting Models (April 20, 2012). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1685861 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1685861

John Doyle (Contact Author)

Cardiff University - Cardiff Business School ( email )

Aberconway Building
Colum Drive
Cardiff, CF10 3EU
United Kingdom

HOME PAGE: http://www.cardiff.ac.uk/carbs/faculty/doylejr/index.html

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