Local Economies and General Elections: The Influence of Municipal and Regional Economic Conditions on Voting in Sweden 1985-2002

25 Pages Posted: 22 Oct 2010

See all articles by Mikael Elinder

Mikael Elinder

Uppsala University - Department of Economics; Research Institute of Industrial Economics (IFN)

Date Written: January 5, 2010

Abstract

This paper presents a detailed analysis of voters' responses to municipality and regional-level unemployment and economic growth, using panel data on 284 municipalities and 9 regions, covering Swedish general elections from 1982 to 2002. The preferred specification suggests that a reduction in regional unemployment by one percentage point is associated with an increase in the support for the national government by about 1.7 percentage points. The effect of growth, at the regional level, is substantial in size, but statistically insignificant. At the municipality level, unemployment has a smaller effect than at the regional level and growth has no effect on government support.

Suggested Citation

Elinder, Mikael, Local Economies and General Elections: The Influence of Municipal and Regional Economic Conditions on Voting in Sweden 1985-2002 (January 5, 2010). IFN Working Paper No. 821, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1695914 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1695914

Mikael Elinder (Contact Author)

Uppsala University - Department of Economics ( email )

Box 513
Uppsala, 751 20
Sweden

Research Institute of Industrial Economics (IFN) ( email )

Box 55665
Grevgatan 34, 2nd floor
Stockholm, SE-102 15
Sweden

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