What Drives the European Central Bank's Interest-Rate Changes?

17 Pages Posted: 27 Dec 2010

See all articles by Morten Aastrup

Morten Aastrup

University of Copenhagen - Department of Economics

Henrik Jensen

University of Copenhagen - Department of Economics; Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

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Date Written: December 2010

Abstract

We show that the ECB's interest rate changes during 1999-2010 have been mainly driven by changes in economic activity in the Euro area. Changes in actual or expected future HICP inflation play a minor, if any, role.

Keywords: ECB monetary policy, Taylor principle, Taylor rules

JEL Classification: E43, E58

Suggested Citation

Aastrup, Morten and Jensen, Henrik, What Drives the European Central Bank's Interest-Rate Changes? (December 2010). CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP8160, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1729578

Morten Aastrup (Contact Author)

University of Copenhagen - Department of Economics

Øster Farimagsgade 5
Bygning 26
1353 Copenhagen K.
Denmark

Henrik Jensen

University of Copenhagen - Department of Economics ( email )

Øster Farimagsgade 5
Bygning 26
1353 Copenhagen K.
Denmark
+45 35 323 043 (Phone)
+45 35 323 000 (Fax)

HOME PAGE: http://hjeconomics.dk

Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

London
United Kingdom

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