Predicting Drift on Politically Insulated Institutions: A Study of Ideological Drift on the United States Supreme Court
46 Pages Posted: 12 Jan 2011 Last revised: 28 Aug 2011
Date Written: December 29, 2010
We examine whether policymakers can predict whether nominees to the Supreme Court will drift ideologically. We analyze the pre-nomination speeches, articles, and separate opinions published by every justice who served at least ten years on the Court. Our data show that we can indeed predict whether a nominee will drift ideologically once on the Court.
Keywords: Supreme Court nominations, ideological drift
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation