Predicting Drift on Politically Insulated Institutions: A Study of Ideological Drift on the United States Supreme Court

46 Pages Posted: 12 Jan 2011 Last revised: 28 Aug 2011

Ryan J. Owens

University of Wisconsin - Madison - Department of Political Science

Justin Wedeking

University of Kentucky - Department of Political Science

Date Written: December 29, 2010

Abstract

We examine whether policymakers can predict whether nominees to the Supreme Court will drift ideologically. We analyze the pre-nomination speeches, articles, and separate opinions published by every justice who served at least ten years on the Court. Our data show that we can indeed predict whether a nominee will drift ideologically once on the Court.

Keywords: Supreme Court nominations, ideological drift

Suggested Citation

Owens, Ryan J. and Wedeking, Justin, Predicting Drift on Politically Insulated Institutions: A Study of Ideological Drift on the United States Supreme Court (December 29, 2010). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1738309 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1738309

Ryan J. Owens (Contact Author)

University of Wisconsin - Madison - Department of Political Science ( email )

406 North Hall
1050 Bascom Mall
Madison, WI 53706
United States
608-263-2279 (Phone)

HOME PAGE: http://law.wisc.edu/profiles/rjowens@wisc.edu

Justin Wedeking

University of Kentucky - Department of Political Science ( email )

1615 Patterson Office Tower
University of Kentucky
Lexington, KY 40506-0027
United States

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