Which Factors Safeguard Employment? An Analysis with Misclassified German Register Data
FDZ-Methodenreport No. 11/2010
34 Pages Posted: 23 Jan 2011
Date Written: December 2010
Abstract
We analyse the main determinants for job separation with transition to unemployment using individual administrative data from Germany. While the sample size is large and the information in target variables is often highly accurate, non-target variables are subject to considerable measurement error due to a lack of relevance for the data generating process. We show that the high degree of misclassification can even persist after comprehensive logical editing and imputation rules were applied. We find that the measurement error has a sizable effect on our estimation results. Long tenure rather than a higher educational qualification appears to be the key ingredient for a safe job in Germany.
Keywords: unemployment risk, nonclassical measurement error, MC-SIMEX
JEL Classification: C81, J63
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation
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