MOSES: Model of Swedish Economic Studies
Sveriges Riksbank Working Paper Series No. 249
43 Pages Posted: 26 Jan 2011 Last revised: 1 Feb 2011
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MOSES: Model of Swedish Economic Studies
Moses: Model of Swedish Economic Studies
Date Written: January 25, 2011
Abstract
MOSES is an aggregate econometric model for Sweden, estimated on quarterly data, and intended for short-term forecasting and policy simulations. After a presentation of qualitative model properties, the econometric methodology is summarized. The model properties, within sample simulations, and examples of dynamic simulation (model forecasts) for the period 2009q2-2012q4 are presented. We address practical issues relating to operational use and maintenance of a macro model of this type. The detailed econometric equations are reported in an appendix.
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