52 Pages Posted: 27 Jan 2011 Last revised: 15 Sep 2013
Date Written: March 14, 2012
We study a new data set of dividend derivatives with maturities up to 10 years across three world regions: the US, Europe, and Japan. We use these asset prices to construct equity yields, analogous to bond yields. We decompose the equity yields to obtain a term structure of expected dividend growth rates and a term structure of risk premia, which decomposes the equity risk premium by maturity. We find that the slope of the term structure of risk premia is pro-cyclical, whereas the slope of the term structure of expected dividend growth rates is counter-cyclical. The comovement of yields across regions is on average higher for long-maturity yields than for short-maturity yields, whereas the variation in this comovement is much higher for short-maturity yields.
Keywords: Growth expectations, Equity risk premium, Term structure of equity
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