Measurement Without Theory, Once Again

Journal of Demographic Economics, Forthcoming

13 Pages Posted: 14 Feb 2011 Last revised: 15 Jul 2015

See all articles by Jeremy Greenwood

Jeremy Greenwood

University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

Ananth Seshadri

University of Wisconsin - Madison - Department of Economics

Guillaume Vandenbroucke

Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

Date Written: July 9, 2015

Abstract

Bailey and Collins (2011) argue that Greenwood, Seshadri, and Vandenbroucke's (2005) hypothesis that the baby boom was partly due to a burst of productivity in the household sector is not supported by evidence. This conclusion is based on regression results showing that appliance ownership is negatively correlated with fertility. They also argue that the Amish, who limit the use of modern technology, had a baby boom. First, it is demonstrated that a negative correlation between appliance ownership and fertility can arise naturally in Greenwood, Seshadri, and Vandenbroucke's model. Second, evidence is presented casting doubt on the presumed technology phobia of the Amish.

Keywords: Amish, Appliances, Baby Boom, Bailey and Collins (2011), Fertility, Indirect Inference, Minimum Distance Estimation, Regressions

JEL Classification: E13, J13, N32

Suggested Citation

Greenwood, Jeremy and Seshadri, Ananth and Vandenbroucke, Guillaume, Measurement Without Theory, Once Again (July 9, 2015). Journal of Demographic Economics, Forthcoming. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1760029 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1760029

Jeremy Greenwood (Contact Author)

University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics ( email )

Ronald O. Perelman Center for Political Science
133 South 36th Street
Philadelphia, PA 19104-6297
United States
215-898-1505 (Phone)

HOME PAGE: http://jeremygreenwood.net

National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

1050 Massachusetts Avenue
Cambridge, MA 02138
United States

Ananth Seshadri

University of Wisconsin - Madison - Department of Economics ( email )

1180 Observatory Drive
Madison, WI 53706
United States
608-262-6196 (Phone)
608-263-3876 (Fax)

Guillaume Vandenbroucke

Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ( email )

411 Locust St
Saint Louis, MO 63011
United States
+1 314 444 8717 (Phone)

HOME PAGE: http://www.guillaumevdb.net/

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