The Potential Impact of the Turnout Rate on Election Outcomes in Turkey
11 Pages Posted: 17 Feb 2011
Date Written: February 17, 2011
Using province and individual level data, this note presents empirical evidence on the relationship between turnout rates and the electoral success of Turkey’s major parties. Regression results reveal that the province level turnout rate is positively associated with the vote share of the center-left main opposition party, after controlling for the effect of average levels of schooling. Examination of the characteristics of non-voters who took part in a 2007 survey also suggest that they are – on average – the type of people who are more likely to vote for the opposition if they were somehow convinced to go to the polls.
Keywords: Turnout, elections, Turkey
JEL Classification: D72
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation