The Potential Impact of the Turnout Rate on Election Outcomes in Turkey

11 Pages Posted: 17 Feb 2011

See all articles by Cem Baslevent

Cem Baslevent

Istanbul Bilgi University - Department of Economics

Date Written: February 17, 2011

Abstract

Using province and individual level data, this note presents empirical evidence on the relationship between turnout rates and the electoral success of Turkey’s major parties. Regression results reveal that the province level turnout rate is positively associated with the vote share of the center-left main opposition party, after controlling for the effect of average levels of schooling. Examination of the characteristics of non-voters who took part in a 2007 survey also suggest that they are – on average – the type of people who are more likely to vote for the opposition if they were somehow convinced to go to the polls.

Keywords: Turnout, elections, Turkey

JEL Classification: D72

Suggested Citation

Baslevent, Cem, The Potential Impact of the Turnout Rate on Election Outcomes in Turkey (February 17, 2011). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1763176 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1763176

Cem Baslevent (Contact Author)

Istanbul Bilgi University - Department of Economics ( email )

Kustepe
Susli
Istanbul, 80310
Turkey

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