Regime Switching and Wages in Major League Baseball Under the Reserve Clause

27 Pages Posted: 24 Feb 2011 Last revised: 18 Jun 2011

Michael J. Haupert

University of Wisconsin - La Crosse

James Murray

University of Wisconsin - La Crosse – Department of Economics

Date Written: May 17, 2011

Abstract

Over the course of the 20th century American wages increased by a factor of about 100, while the wages of professional baseball players increased by a factor of 450, but that increase was neither smooth nor consistent. We use a unique and expansive dataset of salaries and performance variables of Major League Baseball pitchers that spans over 400 players and 60 years during the reserve clause era to identify factors that determine salaries and examine how the importance of various factors have changed over time. We employ a Markov regime-switching regression model borrowed from the macroeconomics literature which allows regression coefficients to switch exogenously between two or more values as time progresses. This method lets us identify changes in wage determination that may have occurred because of a change in the league's competitiveness, a change in the relative bargaining power between players and teams, or other factors that may be unknown or unobservable. We find that even though Major League Baseball was a tightly controlled monopsony with the reserve clause, there was a significant shift in salary determination that lasted from the Great Depression until after World War II where players' salaries were more highly linked to their recent performance.

Keywords: Major League Baseball, Salary Determination, Markov-Regime Switching

JEL Classification: C22, C23, J31

Suggested Citation

Haupert, Michael J. and Murray, James, Regime Switching and Wages in Major League Baseball Under the Reserve Clause (May 17, 2011). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1768085 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1768085

Michael J. Haupert

University of Wisconsin - La Crosse ( email )

1725 State Street
La Crosse, WI 54601
United States

James Murray (Contact Author)

University of Wisconsin - La Crosse – Department of Economics ( email )

1725 State Street
La Crosse, WI 54601
United States
608-785-5140 (Phone)

HOME PAGE: http://www.murraylax.org

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