The Genetics of Conflict: Low Level Interaction between Conflict Events
Håvard Wahl Kongsgård
affiliation not provided to SSRN
February 22, 2011
Conflict observations are not independent of each other, therefore studies are often statistically weak or simply invalid. With military dataset from Iraq, Afghanistan and Vietnam, I analysis the interaction between events utilizing the dependence as an advantage. For Viet Cong & Taliban activity, I find that the local interaction between events is the essential factor. On that basis I conclude that in conventional insurgencies, attacks are mainly coordinated at a local level.
Number of Pages in PDF File: 25
Keywords: Vietnam, VietCong, AQI, Iraq, Taliban, Bayesian, Spatial, Afghanistan
Date posted: February 26, 2011