Will the Global Crisis Lead to Global Transformations? The Coming Epoch of New Coalitions

Journal of Globalization Studies, Vol. 1, No. 2. pp. 166-183, 2010

18 Pages Posted: 28 Feb 2011

See all articles by Leonid Grinin

Leonid Grinin

National Research University Higher School of Economics; Eurasian Center for Big History & System Forecasting; Volgograd Center for Social Research

Andrey Korotayev

Russian State University for the Humanities

Date Written: November 24, 2010

Abstract

This article presents possible answers, and their respective probabilities, to the question, ‘What are the consequences of the present global crisis in the proximate future of the World System?’ It also attempts to describe the basic characteristics of the forthcoming ‘Epoch of New Coalitions’ and to forecast certain future conditions. Among the problems analyzed in this paper are the following: What does the weakening of the economic role of the USA as the World System centre mean? Will there be a leader in the future World System? Will the deficit of global governance and world fragmentation continue to worsen? How can national sovereignty be transformed?

Keywords: global crisis, the World System, World System leader, global hegemony, center, periphery, global governance, national sovereignty

Suggested Citation

Grinin, Leonid and Korotayev, Andrey, Will the Global Crisis Lead to Global Transformations? The Coming Epoch of New Coalitions (November 24, 2010). Journal of Globalization Studies, Vol. 1, No. 2. pp. 166-183, 2010. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1768809

Leonid Grinin (Contact Author)

National Research University Higher School of Economics ( email )

Myasnitskaya street, 20
Moscow, Moscow 119017
Russia

Eurasian Center for Big History & System Forecasting ( email )

Rozhdestvenka 12
Moscow, 107031
Russia

HOME PAGE: http://www.sociostudies.org/ecbsf/

Volgograd Center for Social Research ( email )

Russia, 400079, Volgograd, Kirova street, 143
Volgograd, 400079
Russia

HOME PAGE: http://www.socionauki.ru/authors/grinin_l/

Andrey Korotayev

Russian State University for the Humanities

6
Miusskaya Square
Moscow, GSP-3, 125993
Russia

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