47 Pages Posted: 28 Feb 2011 Last revised: 26 Aug 2016
Date Written: August 25, 2016
We develop a model in which investment risk drives the demand for CDS insurance. We show that CDS overinsurance (insurance in excess of renegotiation proceeds) is procyclical and allows for greater financing of firms with positive NPV projects. In bad times, CDS overinsurance triggers the early liquidation of firms with low continuation values. Our analysis explains the benefits of CDS contracting over economic cycles and reconciles evidence showing that CDSs are most beneficial for firms that are safer and have higher continuation values. The model generates a number of empirical predictions and provides insights on the regulation of CDS markets.
Keywords: CDS, Bankruptcy, Moral Hazard, Financing Efficiency, Regulation
JEL Classification: G33, D86, D61
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation
Campello, Murillo and Matta, Rafael, Investment Risk, CDS Insurance and Firm Financing (August 25, 2016). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1770066 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1770066