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Momentum in Japan: The Exception that Proves the Rule

The Journal of Portfolio Management, Forthcoming

Posted: 9 Mar 2011 Last revised: 27 Apr 2011

Clifford S. Asness

AQR Capital Management, LLC

Date Written: March 3, 2011

Abstract

Momentum strategies deliver positive profits in a variety of market and asset classes with one glaring exception - Japan. The failure of momentum in Japan has led some to call into question momentum’s viability, suggesting that perhaps momentum’s success elsewhere may be the result of data mining. We reject that interpretation. We argue that because value and momentum strategies are strongly negatively correlated, they need to be studied as a system. We show that the results in Japan are perfectly consistent with value and momentum working everywhere at similar levels and are entirely within the range of statistical noise. Viewed as a system, we show momentum strategies are actually a success in Japan. In sum, we find the Japanese momentum results supportive, not contrary, to the idea that momentum is a strong ex ante efficacious strategy around the world. Put differently, the Japanese momentum results are the exception that proves the rule.

Keywords: Momentum, Value, Japan

JEL Classification: F30, G00, G11, G12, G14, G15

Suggested Citation

Asness, Clifford S., Momentum in Japan: The Exception that Proves the Rule (March 3, 2011). The Journal of Portfolio Management, Forthcoming. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1776123

Cliff S. Asness (Contact Author)

AQR Capital Management, LLC ( email )

Two Greenwich Plaza, 3rd Floor
Greenwich, CT 06830
United States
203-742-3601 (Phone)
203-742-3101 (Fax)

HOME PAGE: http://www.aqrcapital.com

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