Hedonic Models with Redevelopment Options Under Uncertainty

Abstract

In Rosen’s (1974) model, implicit market prices can be interpreted as the present values of rents per unit of each hedonic characteristic. But when rents rise, there may be substantial value associated with the option to redevelop to higher intensity per unit land value. In the presence of option value, we first demonstrate that hedonic linear regressions should include an additive non-negative term for the value of the option. This term increases in the variance of the underlying stochastic process. If this term is omitted, then estimates of implicit market prices for desirable (undesirable) characteristics will be biased downward (upward). This prediction is supported by the recent empirical studies. We further suggest that future empirical work can employ the non-linear functional form derived from our theory.

Keywords: Hedonic pricing model, real options