Some Consequences of the 1994-1995 Coffee Boom for Growth and Poverty Reduction in Uganda
Journal of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 59, No. 1, pp. 93-113
Posted: 27 Apr 2011
Date Written: February 1, 2008
This paper reports a computable general equilibrium analysis that explores the consequences of the 1994-1995 increase in the international price of coffee for Uganda's economy. Evidence is found for a small effect on both medium-term growth and poverty reduction. Aid dependence is among the reasons why this effect is not found to be larger. Major beneficiary groups are not primarily the farmers to which the windfall initially accrued, but urban wage earners and the urban self-employed.
Keywords: Aid dependence, coffee, commodity dependence, computable general equilibrium, Dutch disease, Structural Adjustment Programme, Uganda
JEL Classification: C68, D31, D33, D58, E21, F43
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