Crime, Prosecutors, and the Certainty of Conviction

42 Pages Posted: 9 May 2011  

Horst Entorf

Goethe University Frankfurt - Research Center SAFE; IZA Institute of Labor Economics

Abstract

This paper tests predictions of a structural, augmented supply-of-offenders model regarding the relative effects of police, public prosecution and courts, respectively, on crime. Using detailed data on the different stages of the criminal prosecution process in Germany, empirical evidence suggests that public prosecutors and their influence on the probability of conviction play a major role in explaining the variation of crime rates, while the impact of the severity of punishment is small and insignificant.

Keywords: public prosecutors, certainty of punishment, general deterrence, informal punishment, panel data

JEL Classification: K14, K41, C23

Suggested Citation

Entorf, Horst, Crime, Prosecutors, and the Certainty of Conviction. IZA Discussion Paper No. 5670. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1835309

Horst Entorf (Contact Author)

Goethe University Frankfurt - Research Center SAFE ( email )

(http://www.safe-frankfurt.de)
Theodor-W.-Adorno-Platz 3
Frankfurt am Main, 60323
Germany

IZA Institute of Labor Economics

P.O. Box 7240
Bonn, D-53072
Germany

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