Estimação da Matriz Insumo-Produto Utilizando Dados Preliminares das Contas Nacionais: Aplicação e Análise de Indicadores Econômicos para o Brasil em 2005 (Using Data from the System of National Accounts to Estimate Input-Output Matrices: An Application Using Brazilian Data for 2005)

10 Pages Posted: 11 May 2011 Last revised: 3 Aug 2011

See all articles by Joaquim Guilhoto

Joaquim Guilhoto

Organization for Economic Co-Operation and Development (OECD) - Directorate for Science, Technology and Industry (STI); University of Sao Paulo

Umberto Antonio Sesso Filho

Universidade Estadual de Londrina

Date Written: 2010

Abstract

The goal of this study, in Portuguese, is to present and to analyze a methodology to estimate Input-Output Matrices using preliminary data from the Brazilian National Accounts. This methodology is tested for the year of 2005, where the results obtained from the input-output matrices (definitive version) available from IBGE are compared with the matrices estimated using the proposed methodology. The results analyzed refer to: a) type I production multipliers; b) Rasmussen-Hirschman backward and forward linkages; and c) Pure backward and forward linkages. Based on statistical methods (correlation indexes), the results show that the estimated matrices are similar to the ones released by IBGE. As so, this methodology can be used to estimate Brazilian national input-output matrices for the time periods where there are only preliminary data, and the economic structural analysis made with the estimated matrices are valid for the years analyzed.

Note: Downloadable document is in Portuguese.

Keywords: Input-Output, System of National Accounts, Brazil

JEL Classification: C67, D57

Suggested Citation

Guilhoto, Joaquim José Martins and Filho, Umberto Antonio Sesso, Estimação da Matriz Insumo-Produto Utilizando Dados Preliminares das Contas Nacionais: Aplicação e Análise de Indicadores Econômicos para o Brasil em 2005 (Using Data from the System of National Accounts to Estimate Input-Output Matrices: An Application Using Brazilian Data for 2005) (2010). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1836495 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1836495

Joaquim José Martins Guilhoto (Contact Author)

Organization for Economic Co-Operation and Development (OECD) - Directorate for Science, Technology and Industry (STI) ( email )

Paris
France

University of Sao Paulo ( email )

Av. Prof. Luciano Gualberto, 908
FEA2
Sao Paulo, 05508-010
Brazil
+ 55 011 3091-5870 (Phone)
+ 55 011 3813-4743 (Fax)

Umberto Antonio Sesso Filho

Universidade Estadual de Londrina ( email )

Londrina Parana, 87051-270
Brazil

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