Transforming the Philippine Economy: 'Walking on Two Legs'

34 Pages Posted: 6 Jun 2011

See all articles by Norio Usui

Norio Usui

Asian Development Bank - Philippines Country Office

Date Written: March 2011

Abstract

With a strong recovery from the global crisis, the Philippines’ policy focus will shift again to a long-term development agenda. Despite favorable initial conditions, the Philippines’ long-term growth performance has been disappointing. Over the decades, the economy has suffered from high unemployment, slow poverty reduction, and stagnant investment. Why could the Philippines not enjoy high growth as its neighbors? What are the main causes of its chronic problems of unemployment, poverty, and underinvestment? This paper argues that the Philippines’ poor growth performance is to be attributed to low productivity growth due to slow industrialization, especially in manufacturing. The chronic problems of high unemployment, slow poverty reduction, and low investment are reflections of slow industrialization. Initial success in electronics had enabled the economy to accumulate capabilities for productive diversification. However, incentives to utilize the accumulated capabilities have been weakened by persistent underprovision of basic infrastructure and weak business and investment climate. The paper also analyzes the growing services sector, in particular the booming business process outsourcing industry, in terms of its impact on job creation. The key conclusion is that, instead of, “leapfrogging,” over industrialization, the Philippines needs to “walk on two legs, to develop both industry and services.

Keywords: structural transformation, labor productivity, product diversification, service-led growth, job creation, Economics Working Paper Number 252

JEL Classification: O14, O47

Suggested Citation

Usui, Norio, Transforming the Philippine Economy: 'Walking on Two Legs' (March 2011). Asian Development Bank Economics Working Paper No. 252. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1858503 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1858503

Norio Usui (Contact Author)

Asian Development Bank - Philippines Country Office ( email )

6 ADB Avenue
Mandaluyong
Manila, 1550
Philippines
63-2-683-1012 (Phone)
63-2-683-1030 (Fax)

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