Health Employment, Medical Spending, and Long Term Health Reform
Presented at CESifo Area Conference on Public Sector Economics, April 2011
32 Pages Posted: 8 Jun 2011
Date Written: August 11, 2011
This paper explores the relationships between the growth in the medical workforce in an aging society and employment in other sectors of the economy, based on data from the United States since 1985. Employment in medical services grew, but did not displace employment in other sectors uniformly. Instead, regression analysis shows that medical workforce growth produced contemporaneous reductions in relative employment in the manufacturing, construction, and information sectors, while being associated with growth in other services and public administration. Import penetration and productivity growth mattered, but much of the displacement remains even after controlling for these factors.
JEL Classification: I100
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation