Rules in the Shadow of the Future: Prudential Rule Making Under Ambiguity in the Aviation Industry

International Relations, Vol. 20, No. 3, pp. 343-349, 2006

Posted: 12 Jun 2011

See all articles by Joseph Lampel

Joseph Lampel

Alliance Manchester Business School

Date Written: 2006

Abstract

Rules often develop in response to past catastrophes and in order to prevent those catastrophes from occurring in the future. In complex economic, technological and political systems rule-making without solid historical foundations must contend with intrinsically ambiguous relationships between present conditions and future predictions. This rule making in situations of ambiguity is explored through a study of rules governing the use of personal electronic devices in the aviation industry. It points to how the rules that currently govern the use of such devices result from prudential concerns about hypothetical futures rather than any statistical or technological certainty about the future. This point applies to business but also to political rule-making.

Keywords: airline safety, electromagnetic interference, prudential rules

Suggested Citation

Lampel, Joseph, Rules in the Shadow of the Future: Prudential Rule Making Under Ambiguity in the Aviation Industry (2006). International Relations, Vol. 20, No. 3, pp. 343-349, 2006, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1863207

Joseph Lampel (Contact Author)

Alliance Manchester Business School ( email )

Harold Hankins Building
room 9.21
London, Choose a State M15 6PB
United Kingdom
0161-820-8344 (Phone)

HOME PAGE: http://www.manchester.ac.uk/research/joseph.lampel/furtherinformation

Do you have a job opening that you would like to promote on SSRN?

Paper statistics

Abstract Views
260
PlumX Metrics