Fiscal Policies and Asset Prices
Review of Financial Studies, 2012
47 Pages Posted: 15 Jun 2011 Last revised: 10 Mar 2017
Date Written: February 15, 2012
The surge in public debt triggered by the financial crisis has raised uncertainty about future tax pressure and economic activity. We examine the asset pricing effects of fiscal policies in a production-based general equilibrium model in which taxation affects corporate decisions by: i) distorting profits and investment; ii) reducing the cost of debt through a tax shield; and iii) depressing productivity growth. In settings with recursive preferences, these three tax-based channels generate sizable risk premia making tax uncertainty a first order concern. We document further that corporate tax smoothing can substantially alter the effects of public expenditure shocks.
Keywords: cost of equity, corporate tax uncertainty, tax smoothing
JEL Classification: G12, E62
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation