Was the Tea Party Responsible for the Republican Victory in the 2010 House Elections?
20 Pages Posted: 1 Aug 2011 Last revised: 22 Aug 2011
Date Written: 2011
We test the hypothesis that the Tea Party won the House for Republicans. We find no support for the hypothesis. Instead, we find that variables long cited in the congressional elections literature — in particular, the incumbent’s previous electoral performance, the normal party vote in the district, candidate spending, and challenger experience — best explain the results of the 2010 elections.
Keywords: Tea Party movement, congressional elections
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