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Avoiding Japan-Style Stagnation by Overcoming Bankers' DNA

Hrishikesh D. Vinod

Fordham University - Department of Economics

August 24, 2011

Japan since 1990 and the US since 2008 have a zero interest (or “Liquidity Trap”) environment. Bankers’ DNA contains: (1) Inability to charge money instead of paying interest for deposits, (2) double entry book-keeping, and (3) inflation-aversion. I show that this DNA is responsible for the inability of monetary policy (QE1, QE2 or further real interest rate reductions into negative territory) and fiscal stimulus to promote American recovery and growth. As a unilateral remedy, the US should “print” about $500 billion, without adding to debt or taxes. If single entry printing is impossible, I suggest a fresh “allocation” of $500 billion in special drawing rights (SDR) to the US, Japan and the Euro-zone via an international agreement. I also indicate the taxing and spending discipline needed to avoid tripping market expectations. However, without it we run the risk of multiple dip recessions and world-wide Japan-style decades long stagnation.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 10

Keywords: Quantitative Easing, Inflation aversion, Liquidity trap, Zero interest

JEL Classification: E58, E62, E44

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Date posted: August 25, 2011 ; Last revised: September 23, 2011

Suggested Citation

Vinod, Hrishikesh D., Avoiding Japan-Style Stagnation by Overcoming Bankers' DNA (August 24, 2011). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1916361 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1916361

Contact Information

Hrishikesh D. Vinod (Contact Author)
Fordham University - Department of Economics ( email )
Dealy Hall
Bronx, NY 10458
United States
718-817-4065 (Phone)
718-817-3518 (Fax)
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