The Golden Mean, the Arab Spring and a 10-Step Analysis of American Economic History

The Middle East Studies Online Journal, Forthcoming

53 Pages Posted: 26 Aug 2011

See all articles by Scott A. Albers

Scott A. Albers

Attorney-at-Law

Andrew L. Albers

Montana State University - Bozeman

Date Written: July 21, 2011

Abstract

The Long-Wave theories of Nikolai Kondratiev and others claim to find mathematic waves in economic and other social data which are at present in dispute. Currently the theory is considered outside the scope of mainstream economics under several rationales.

Despite the lack of mainstream acceptance, we make a strong case for the existence of long waves in the Real GNP of the United States with a 56 year cycle. Our analysis bypasses many of the issues cited by Long-Wave theory critics and in fact clarifies the mathematical structure of the theory.

Keywords: Real GNP, golden Mean, fibonacci series, Arab spring, phi, long wave, long cycle, Kondratiev Wave, economic forecasting, economic model, global financial crisis, Constitutional Law, American Economic History, revolution, consolidation, GNP Spiral, Okun's Law, 'The Great Moderation”

JEL Classification: B41, B5, C01, C02, C50, C63, E00, E01, E10, E19, E30, N00, N01, N11, Z10, Z13

Suggested Citation

Albers, Scott A. and Albers, Andrew L., The Golden Mean, the Arab Spring and a 10-Step Analysis of American Economic History (July 21, 2011). The Middle East Studies Online Journal, Forthcoming. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1916823

Scott A. Albers (Contact Author)

Attorney-at-Law ( email )

410 Central Avenue Suite 613
Great Falls, MT 59401
United States
406-781-5214 (Phone)
406-453-5901 (Fax)

Andrew L. Albers

Montana State University - Bozeman ( email )

Bozeman, MT 59717-2920
United States

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