Lock, Stock, and Barrel: A Comprehensive Assessment of the Determinants of Terror

46 Pages Posted: 30 Aug 2011

See all articles by Martin Gassebner

Martin Gassebner

ETH Zurich - KOF Swiss Economic Institute; CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute)

Simon Luechinger

University of Lucerne

Date Written: August 30, 2011

Abstract

We assess the robustness of previous findings on the determinants of terrorism. Using extreme bound analysis, the three most comprehensive terrorism datasets, and focusing on the three most commonly analyzed aspects of terrorist activity, i.e., location, victim, and perpetrator, we re-assess the effect of 65 proposed correlates. Evaluating around 13.4 million regressions, we find 18 variables to be robustly associated with the number of incidents occurring in a given country-year, 15 variables with attacks against citizens from a particular country in a given year, and six variables with attacks perpetrated by citizens of a particular country in a given year.

Keywords: causes of terrorism, poverty and terrorism, panel estimations, extreme bounds analysis

JEL Classification: D740, F510, F520, H560, K420

Suggested Citation

Gassebner, Martin and Luechinger, Simon, Lock, Stock, and Barrel: A Comprehensive Assessment of the Determinants of Terror (August 30, 2011). CESifo Working Paper Series No. 3550. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1919487

Martin Gassebner (Contact Author)

ETH Zurich - KOF Swiss Economic Institute ( email )

Weinbergstrasse 35
Zurich, 8092
Switzerland

HOME PAGE: http://www.kof.ethz.ch/chair/

CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute) ( email )

Poschinger Str. 5
Munich, DE-81679
Germany

Simon Luechinger

University of Lucerne ( email )

Frohburgstrasse 3
P.O. Box 4466
Lucerne, 6002
Switzerland

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