Conglomerate Investment, Skewness, and the CEO Long Shot Bias

59 Pages Posted: 2 Sep 2011 Last revised: 30 Jun 2015

Christoph Schneider

Tilburg University - Department of Finance

Oliver G. Spalt

Tilburg University - Department of Finance

Date Written: June 30, 2015

Abstract

Do behavioral biases of executives matter for corporate investment decisions? Using segment-level capital allocation in multi-segment firms ("conglomerates") as a laboratory, we show that capital expenditure is increasing in the expected skewness of segment returns. Conglomerates invest more in high-skewness segments than matched standalone firms, and trade at a discount, which indicates overinvestment that is detrimental to shareholder wealth. Using geographical variation in gambling norms, we find that the skewness-investment relation is particularly pronounced when CEOs are likely to find long shots attractive. Our findings suggest that CEOs allocate capital with a long shot bias.

Keywords: Behavioral Corporate Finance, Skewness, Investment

JEL Classification: G11, G31, G34

Suggested Citation

Schneider, Christoph and Spalt, Oliver G., Conglomerate Investment, Skewness, and the CEO Long Shot Bias (June 30, 2015). Journal of Finance, Forthcoming. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1920836 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1920836

Christoph Schneider

Tilburg University - Department of Finance ( email )

P.O. Box 90153
Tilburg, 5000 LE
Netherlands

Oliver G. Spalt (Contact Author)

Tilburg University - Department of Finance ( email )

Department of Finance
Tilburg University
Tilburg, 5000 LE
Netherlands
+31 13 466 3545 (Phone)

HOME PAGE: http://www.oliverspalt.com

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