Climate Change and Tourism in Tuscany, Italy: What If Heat Becomes Unbearable?

24 Pages Posted: 20 Oct 2011

See all articles by Mattia Cai

Mattia Cai

University of Padua

Roberto Ferrise

National Research Council Institute of Biometeorology

Marco Moriondo

National Research Council Institute of Biometeorology

Paulo A. L. D. Nunes

University of Padova - Dipartimento Territorio e Sistemi Agro Forestali (TeSAF)

Marco Bindi

University of Florence

Date Written: October 11, 2011

Abstract

This paper investigates the empirical magnitude of climate conditions on tourist flows in Tuscany, exploring the use of a fine spatial scale analysis. In fact, we explore the use of an 8-year panel dataset of Tuscany’s 254 municipalities, examining how tourist inflows respond to variation in local weather conditions. In particular, as the area enjoys a fairly mild Mediterranean climate, our analysis focused on temperature extremes at key times of the tourist season, i.e., on maximum summer temperature and minimum winter temperature. Separate analyses are conducted for domestic and international tourists, so as to test the differences in the preferences among these distinct groups (or types of demand). Estimation results show the impact of climate change on tourist flows appears to vary significantly among destinations depending on the kind of attractions they offer, and those areas that host the main artistic and historical sights, affecting predominantly the domestic rather than the international tourists.

Keywords: Domestic Tourists, International Tourists, Municipalities, Maximum and Minimum Daily Temperature, Dynamic Model, Temperature Demand Elasticity, GMM

JEL Classification: C23, D01, L83

Suggested Citation

Cai, Mattia and Ferrise, Roberto and Moriondo, Marco and Dias Nunes, Paulo Augusto and Bindi, Marco, Climate Change and Tourism in Tuscany, Italy: What If Heat Becomes Unbearable? (October 11, 2011). FEEM Working Paper No. 67.2011, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1942347 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1942347

Mattia Cai (Contact Author)

University of Padua ( email )

Via 8 Febbraio, 2
Padova, Vicenza 35122
Italy

Roberto Ferrise

National Research Council Institute of Biometeorology ( email )

Florence
Italy

Marco Moriondo

National Research Council Institute of Biometeorology ( email )

Florence
Italy

Paulo Augusto Dias Nunes

University of Padova - Dipartimento Territorio e Sistemi Agro Forestali (TeSAF) ( email )

Legnaro, Padova 35020
Italy

Marco Bindi

University of Florence ( email )

Piazza di San Marco, 4
Florence, 50121
Italy

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