Preemptive Bidding, Target Resistance, and Takeover Premiums

64 Pages Posted: 19 Oct 2011 Last revised: 19 Dec 2013

Date Written: December 1, 2013

Abstract

We evaluate empirically two sources of large takeover premiums: preemptive bidding and target resistance. We develop an auction model that features costly sequential entry of bidders in takeover contests and encompasses both explanations. We estimate the model parameters by simulated method of moments for a sample of US takeovers. Our estimates imply that target resistance explains the entire magnitude of the premium in 74% of successful single-bidder contests. Simulation experiments show that initial bidders have, on average, a higher valuation for the target than rival bidders, so that a relatively low initial bid is sufficient to deter a rival from entry.

Keywords: Merger, auctions, target resistance, preemptive bidding, structural estimation

JEL Classification: D44, G34

Suggested Citation

Dimopoulos, Theodosios and Sacchetto, Stefano, Preemptive Bidding, Target Resistance, and Takeover Premiums (December 1, 2013). Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper No. 11-47, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1945837 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1945837

Theodosios Dimopoulos (Contact Author)

London Business School ( email )

Sussex Place
Regent's Park
London, London NW1 4SA
United Kingdom

Stefano Sacchetto

IESE Business School ( email )

08034 Barcelona
Spain
+34 93 253 6461 (Phone)

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