The Morning after: Explaining the Slowdown in Japanese Growth in the 1990s
41 Pages Posted: 28 Feb 2000 Last revised: 14 Oct 2010
Date Written: September 1999
This paper uses a VAR to investigate four possible explanations of the extended slump in Japanese economic activity over the 1990s: the absence of bold and consistent fiscal stimulus; the limited room for expansionary monetary policy due to a liquidity trap; overinvestment and debt overhang; and disruption of financial intermediation. The results indicate that all of these factors played a role, but that the major explanation is disruption in financial intermediation, largely operating through the impact of changes in domestic asset prices on bank lending.
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