Tourism Development and Economic Growth in Developing Countries
The International Journal of Business and Finance Research, Vol. 6, No. 1, pp. 61-63, 2012
13 Pages Posted: 6 Jan 2012
Date Written: 2012
Abstract
The objective of this study is to investigate the relationships between tourism development and economic growth in developing countries using the newly developed heterogeneous panel co-integration technique. This study examines the causal relationship between tourism development and economic growth using Granger causality tests in a multivariate model and using the annual data for the 1995–2009 period. The study finds no evidence to support the tourism-led growth hypothesis. The results of the FMOLS show that, though the elasticity of tourism revenue with respect to real GDP is not statistically significant for all regions, its positive sign indicates that tourism revenue makes a positive contribution to economic growth in developing countries. The results of the study suggest that governments of developing countries should focus on economic policies to promote tourism as a potential source of economic growth.
Keywords: tourism, economic growth, panel cointegration, causality
JEL Classification: F43, L83, O40
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