Impact of Food Inflation on Poverty in the Philippines

SMU Economics & Statistics Working Paper No. 14-2011

25 Pages Posted: 11 Nov 2011  

Tomoki Fujii

Singapore Management University - School of Economics

Date Written: November 11, 2011

Abstract

We simulate the impact of actual food price increase between June 2006 and June 2008 on poverty across different areas and whether the household’s main income source is agricultural activities. We explicitly treat heterogeneity in food price changes and the patterns of consumption and production by merging a expenditure survey dataset and a price dataset at the provincial level or lower. While the increase of head count index is larger for non-agricultural households than agricultural households, the opposite is true for the poverty gap and poverty severity measures, because poor agricultural households are particularly vulnerable to food inflation.

Keywords: non-parametric regression, net consumption ratio, global food crisis, vulnerability

JEL Classification: E31, I32, O1

Suggested Citation

Fujii, Tomoki, Impact of Food Inflation on Poverty in the Philippines (November 11, 2011). SMU Economics & Statistics Working Paper No. 14-2011. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1957946 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1957946

Tomoki Fujii (Contact Author)

Singapore Management University - School of Economics ( email )

90 Stamford Road
178903
Singapore
+6568280279 (Phone)
+6568280833 (Fax)

HOME PAGE: http://www.mysmu.edu/faculty/tfujii/

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