Unraveling a Puzzle: The Case of Value Line Timeliness Rank Upgrades
Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Vol. 25, No. 4, pp. 379-409, 2011
Posted: 7 Dec 2011
Date Written: October 5, 2011
We examine a sample of Value Line’s timeliness rank upgrades that occur immediately following earnings announcements and find that pre-event price momentum has significant incremental explanatory power for post-event drift, after controlling for the level of earnings surprise. Therefore, the stock price drift following Value Line’s timeliness upgrades cannot be viewed as driven only by the post-earnings announcement drift phenomenon. Instead, these findings indicate that, among other factors, Value Line has been exploiting the price momentum effect for decades. Black (Financial Analysis Journal 29:10–14, 1973) clearly stated that it does indeed do this, but his assertion has not yet been verified as an explanation of the puzzling drift that follows Value Line rank upgrades.
Keywords: value line timeliness ranks, post-earnings announcement drift, upgrades, post-upgrade drift, momentum
JEL Classification: G14
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation