A Test of the Market’s Mispricing of Domestic and Foreign Earnings

38 Pages Posted: 16 Dec 2011

Date Written: December 14, 2011

Abstract

This study investigates whether abnormal returns can be earned using public information about firms' domestic and foreign earnings. The results indicate that the market understates foreign earnings’ persistence. As a result, it is possible to construct a zero-investment hedge portfolio that consistently earns positive returns across years. A disproportionate fraction of the positive abnormal returns to the long position is concentrated in the few days surrounding the subsequent year's quarterly earnings announcement dates. Furthermore, the abnormal returns do not appear to persist beyond the subsequent year. The results are consistent with market mispricing, and not mis-estimated risk.

Keywords: Capital markets, Market efficiency, Valuation, Multinational firms, Foreign earnings

JEL Classification: F23, G14, M41

Suggested Citation

Thomas, Wayne B., A Test of the Market’s Mispricing of Domestic and Foreign Earnings (December 14, 2011). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1972543 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1972543

Wayne B. Thomas (Contact Author)

University of Oklahoma ( email )

Michael F. Price College of Business,
307 W Brooks, Rm 212B
Norman, OK 73019
United States
405-325-5789 (Phone)
405-325-7348 (Fax)

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