Consumption and the Great Recession
32 Pages Posted: 25 Dec 2011 Last revised: 31 Oct 2022
Date Written: December 2011
We document some key facts about aggregate consumption and its subcomponents over time. We then document the behavior of some important determinants of consumption, such as consumers' expectations about their future income, and changes in the consumers' wealth positions. Finally, we use a simple permanent income model to show that the observed drop in consumption during the Great Recession can be explained by the observed drops in wealth and income expectations.
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