How Much Terror? Dissidents, Governments, Institutions and the Cross-National Study of Terror Attacks

83 Pages Posted: 28 Dec 2011 Last revised: 1 Mar 2012

See all articles by Will H. Moore

Will H. Moore

Florida State University - Department of Political Science

Ryan Bakker

University of Georgia - Department of Political Science

Daniel W. Hill

University of Georgia - Department of International Affairs

Date Written: December 14, 2011

Abstract

Our knowledge of the set of concepts that influence the number of terror attacks experienced by different countries is rudimentary. Existing work on the incidence of terror focuses upon the structural characteristics of polities, economies, and societies, and fails to place competition between dissidents and states center stage. This study addresses that shortcoming by proposing a theoretical framework that places competition between dissident groups and government at the center of the analysis, then scour the literature for existing arguments and develop hypotheses by evaluating the implications of those arguments within a dissident--state centered framework. We evaluate the resulting hypotheses using Bayesian statistical techniques and a broad scope of relevant data. The results demonstrate that government and dissident behavior have larger effects on the incidence of terror attacks than the variables that populate existing research.

Keywords: Terror, Insurgency, Dissidents

JEL Classification: D74, C11

Suggested Citation

Moore, Will H. and Bakker, Ryan and Hill, Daniel W., How Much Terror? Dissidents, Governments, Institutions and the Cross-National Study of Terror Attacks (December 14, 2011). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1977262 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1977262

Will H. Moore (Contact Author)

Florida State University - Department of Political Science ( email )

Talahasse, FL 30306
United States
850-644-6924 (Phone)

Ryan Bakker

University of Georgia - Department of Political Science ( email )

104 Baldwin Hall
Athens, GA 30602
United States

Daniel W. Hill

University of Georgia - Department of International Affairs ( email )

Athens, GA 30602
United States

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