How Much Terror? Dissidents, Governments, Institutions and the Cross-National Study of Terror Attacks
83 Pages Posted: 28 Dec 2011 Last revised: 1 Mar 2012
Date Written: December 14, 2011
Our knowledge of the set of concepts that influence the number of terror attacks experienced by different countries is rudimentary. Existing work on the incidence of terror focuses upon the structural characteristics of polities, economies, and societies, and fails to place competition between dissidents and states center stage. This study addresses that shortcoming by proposing a theoretical framework that places competition between dissident groups and government at the center of the analysis, then scour the literature for existing arguments and develop hypotheses by evaluating the implications of those arguments within a dissident--state centered framework. We evaluate the resulting hypotheses using Bayesian statistical techniques and a broad scope of relevant data. The results demonstrate that government and dissident behavior have larger effects on the incidence of terror attacks than the variables that populate existing research.
Keywords: Terror, Insurgency, Dissidents
JEL Classification: D74, C11
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation