The Future Prospect of PV and CSP Solar Technologies: An Expert Elicitation Survey

24 Pages Posted: 15 Feb 2012

See all articles by Valentina Bosetti

Valentina Bosetti

Bocconi University; CMCC - Euro Mediterranean Centre for Climate Change

Michela Catenacci

Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM)

Giulia Fiorese

Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei; Polytechnic University of Milan - Dipartimento di Elettronica e Informazione

Elena Verdolini

Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM), CMCC - Euro Mediterranean Centre for Climate Change

Date Written: February 14, 2012

Abstract

In this paper we present and discuss the results of an expert elicitation survey on solar technologies. Sixteen leading European experts from the academic world, the private sector and international institutions took part in this expert elicitation survey on Photovoltaic (PV) and Concentrated Solar Power (CSP) technologies. The survey collected probabilistic information on how Research, Development and Demonstration (RD&D) investments will impact the future costs of solar technologies and the potential for solar technology deployment both in OECD and non-OECD countries. Understanding the technological progress and the potential of solar PV and CPS technologies is crucial to draft appropriate energy policies. The results presented in this paper are thus relevant for the policy making process and can be used as better input data in integrated assessment and energy models.

Keywords: expert elicitation, research, development and demonstration, solar technologies

JEL Classification: Q42, Q55

Suggested Citation

Bosetti, Valentina and Catenacci, Michela and Fiorese, Giulia and Verdolini, Elena, The Future Prospect of PV and CSP Solar Technologies: An Expert Elicitation Survey (February 14, 2012). FEEM Working Paper No. 1.2012, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2004965 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2004965

Valentina Bosetti (Contact Author)

Bocconi University

Via Gobbi 5
Milan, 20136
Italy

CMCC - Euro Mediterranean Centre for Climate Change

via Augusto Imperatore, 16
Lecce, I-73100
Italy

Michela Catenacci

Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM) ( email )

C.so Magenta 63
Milano, 20123
Italy

Giulia Fiorese

Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei ( email )

C.so Magenta 63
Milano, 20123
Italy

Polytechnic University of Milan - Dipartimento di Elettronica e Informazione ( email )

Via Ponzio 34/5
Milano, 20133
Italy

Elena Verdolini

Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM), CMCC - Euro Mediterranean Centre for Climate Change ( email )

C.so Magenta 63
Milano, 20123
Italy

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