46 Pages Posted: 17 Mar 2012 Last revised: 17 Aug 2016
Date Written: August 16, 2016
We assess the finite sample performance of simulation estimators that are used to estimate the parameters of dynamic corporate finance models. We formulate an out-of-sample specification test and propose a new set of statistical benchmarks that can be used to estimate and evaluate these models. These benchmarks are based on model policy functions. Our Monte Carlo simulations show that the estimators are largely unbiased with low root mean squared errors. When computed with an optimal weight matrix, the t-tests and specification tests associated with the estimators are close to correctly sized. The specification tests have excellent power to detect misspecification.
Keywords: dynamic models of capital structure, policy function, value function, model evaluation, Monte Carlo
JEL Classification: C14, C52, C61, G31, G32
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation
Bazdresch, Santiago and Kahn, R. Jay and Whited, Toni M., Estimating and Testing Dynamic Corporate Finance Models (August 16, 2016). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2023804 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2023804
By John Graham